TIMEGROWTHINFLECTION

Linear is a lie.
The future arrives all at once.

This course teaches you to read the shape. And see what's coming before it arrives.

MAP YOUR FIRST CURVE →

THE LINEAR TRAP

The flat part isn't 'not growing.'

It's the last moment to get on the curve before it becomes obvious.

THE 6Ds

Every exponential technology passes through six phases

D1
Digitized
Fold it into bits.
e.g. Music, photography, books
D2
Deceptive
It looks like it's failing.
e.g. Streaming in 2000s
D3
Disruptive
Vertical. Incumbents panic.
e.g. LLMs today
D4
Demonetized
Money removed from the equation.
e.g. Wikipedia killed encyclopedias
D5
Dematerialized
Physical disappears entirely.
e.g. Cloud storage
D6
Democratized
Available to everyone with access.
e.g. Smartphones

TECHNOLOGY DASHBOARD — 2026

Where are we now?

TECHNOLOGYPHASECOST TRENDNEXT PHASE IN
Large Language AI●●●○○○D3: Disruptive-95%/yrD4: Demonetizing
Solar + Storage●●●●○○D4: Demonetized-12%/yrD4: Demonetizing
Lab-Grown Meat●●○○○○D2: Deceptive-8%/yrD4: Demonetizing
Nuclear Fusion●●○○○○D2: DeceptiveFlatD4: Demonetizing
Autonomous Vehicles●●●○○○D3: Disruptive-20%/yrD4: Demonetizing
Gene Editing●●●○○○D3: Disruptive-30%/yrD4: Demonetizing
Quantum Computing●●○○○○D2: Deceptive+20%/yr???

The inflection point is where the future stops being optional.

It's the moment when the people who saw it coming are already building — and everyone else is just noticing.

STUDENT PROJECTS

What students mapped

Solar Curve Analysis

A student mapped 30 years of solar costs.

→ D2 (2000–2010), D3 (2010–2020), D4 (2020–now). We're 3 years from D5 — solar as the default, no grid needed in sunny regions.

AI Benchmark Cost Curve

A student mapped GPT-1 through GPT-5 performance per dollar.

→ The D3 inflection for AI agents was 2023. We're already in the vertical.

Personal Thesis: Precision Medicine

A student mapped CRISPR cost curves + cancer treatment outcomes.

→ In 10 years, genetic medicine will be D6. I need to be in the D3 infrastructure play now.

THE METHOD

Course Structure

→Session 1: The Linear Trap (90 min)
→Session 2: The 6Ds Framework (90 min)
→Session 3: Mapping Real Curves — Workshop (90 min)
→Session 4: Where Are We Now? (90 min)
→Session 5: Personal Thesis Workshop (90 min)
→Session 6: Final Presentations (90 min)

THE OUTPUT

Every student produces:

✓A 10-year technology curve (real data)
✓A phase analysis for their chosen technology
✓A visual 10-Year Curve Map
✓A personal technology thesis
✓A 5-minute thesis presentation

The person who can read a curve has a compounding advantage.

Every year of accurate curve-reading builds on every previous year. The person who can't keeps being surprised by the future.